Alpha Lab Research

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Analysis | Alpha Lab Research

Analysis of BTC price performance after each halving event, divided into bull market (first 2 years) and bear market (years 3-4) periods.

Updated 6h ago

These halving cycle patterns are based on past Bitcoin price data. They are descriptive, not predictive, and they are not financial advice.

Bear cycle day

826 days since April 19, 2024

525th day of bull cycle

Based off 3 cycles

195 day of bear cycle

Based off 3 cycles

days from now

Sep 4, 2029 • next estimated halving cycle

days from now

Oct 31, 2026

Closest available return multiples at key points in each halving cycle, rendered as plain table data alongside the charts.

Halving Date	Day 30	Day 180	Day 365	Day 730	Day 1095	Day 1460
11/28/2012	1.00x	1.00x	1.00x	0.82x	0.78x	1.59x
7/9/2016	0.90x	1.53x	3.82x	10.13x	19.12x	14.35x
5/11/2020	1.15x	1.73x	6.62x	3.38x	3.15x	7.09x
4/19/2024	1.04x	1.06x	1.33x	1.16x	1.00x	1.00x